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@article{Bai2004397,
abstract = {This paper uses a dynamic panel estimation method to investigate the determinants of regional specialization in China's industries, paying particular attention to local protectionism. Less geographic concentration is found in industries where the past tax-plus-profit margins and the shares of state ownership are high, reflecting stronger local government protection of these industries. The evidence also supports the scale-economies theory of regional specialization. Finally, the overall time trend of regional specialization of China's industries is found to have reversed an early drop in the mid-1980s, and registered a significant increase in the later years. },
author = {Bai, Chong-En and Du, Yingjuan and Tao, Zhigang and Tong, Sarah Y},
doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1996(03)00070-9},
issn = {0022-1996},
journal = {Journal of International Economics},
keywords = {Local protectionism},
number = {2},
pages = {397--417},
title = {{Local protectionism and regional specialization: evidence from China's industries}},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022199603000709},
volume = {63},
year = {2004}
}
@article{Banerjee2012,
abstract = {This paper estimates the effect of access to transportation networks on regional economic outcomes in China over a twenty-period of rapid income growth. It addresses the problem of the endogenous placement of networks by exploiting the fact that these networks tend to connect historical cities. Our results show that proximity to transportation networks have a moderate positive causal effect on per capita GDP levels across sectors, but no effect on per capita GDP growth. We provide a simple theoretical framework with empirically testable predictions to interpret our results. We argue that our results are consistent with factor mobility playing an important role in determining the economic benefits of infrastructure development.},
author = {Banerjee, Abhijit and Duflo, Esther and Qian, Nancy},
doi = {10.2139/ssrn.2018637},
file = {:Users/aragorn/Papers/Banerjee12-06.pdf:pdf},
issn = {1556-5068},
journal = {Transport},
keywords = {firms,growth,inequality,infrastructure},
pages = {1--22},
title = {{On the Road: Access to Transportation Infrastructure and Economic Growth in China}},
url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w17897},
volume = {17897},
year = {2012}
}
@article{Faber2014,
abstract = {Large-scale transport infrastructure investments connect both large metropolitan centres of production as well as small peripheral regions. Are the resulting trade cost reductions a force for the diffusion of industrial and total economic activity to peripheral regions, or do they reinforce the concentration of production in space? This article exploits China's National Trunk Highway System as a large-scale natural experiment to contribute to our understanding of this question. The network was designed to connect provincial capitals and cities with an urban population above 500,000. As a side effect, a large number of small peripheral counties were connected to large metropolitan agglomerations. To address non-random route placements on thewaybetween targeted city nodes, I propose an instrumental variable strategy based on the construction of least cost path spanning tree networks. The estimation results suggest that network connections have led to a reduction in GDP growth among non-targeted peripheral counties. This effect appears to be driven by a significant reduction in industrial output growth. Additional results present evidence in support of a trade-based channel in the light of falling trade costs between peripheral and metropolitan regions.},
author = {Faber, Benjamin},
doi = {10.1093/restud/rdu010},
file = {:Users/aragorn/Papers/Trade Integration, Market Size, And Industrialization.pdf:pdf},
issn = {1467937X},
journal = {Review of Economic Studies},
keywords = {Core-periphery,Industrialization,Market integration,Transport infrastructure},
number = {3},
pages = {1046--1070},
title = {{Trade integration, market size, and industrialization: Evidence from China's national trunk highway system}},
volume = {81},
year = {2014}
}
@article{Fan2015,
abstract = {This paper presents theory and evidence from highly disaggregated Chinese data that tighter credit constrains force firms to produce lower quality. The paper modifies Melitz's (2003) model of trade with heterogeneous firms by introducing quality choice and credit constraints. The quality sorting model predicts that tighter credit constraints faced by a firm reduce its optimal prices due to its choice of lower-quality products. However, when quality cannot be chosen by a firm in an efficiency sorting model, there is an opposite prediction that prices increase as firms face tighter credit constraints. An empirical analysis using Chinese bank loans data and a merged sample of large trading firms based on Chinese firm-level data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China (NBSC) and Chinese customs data strongly supports quality sorting and confirms the mechanism of quality adjustment: firms optimally choose to produce lower-quality products when facing tighter credit constraints. Moreover, the predictions of the efficiency sorting model are supported by using quality-adjusted prices in regression analysis and by using quality variation across firms within the same product.},
author = {Fan, Haichao and Lai, Edwin L.-C. and Li, Yao Amber},
doi = {10.1016/j.jce.2015.02.007},
issn = {01475967},
journal = {Journal of Comparative Economics},
keywords = {Credit access,Credit constraints,Credit needs,D2,Export prices,F1,F3,G2,L1,Quality,Quality sorting},
month = {mar},
title = {{Credit Constraints, Quality, and Export Prices: Theory and Evidence from China}},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0147596715000311},
year = {2015}
}
@techreport{NBERw21112,
abstract = {We construct housing price indices for 120 major cities in China in 2003-2013 based on sequential sales of new homes within the same housing developments. By using these indices and detailed information on mortgage borrowers across these cities, we find enormous housing price appreciation during the decade, which was accompanied by equally impressive growth in household income, except in a few first-tier cities. While bottom-income mortgage borrowers endured severe financial burdens by using price-to-income ratios over eight to buy homes, their participation in the housing market remained steady and their mortgage loans were protected by down payments commonly in excess of 35 percent. As such, the housing market is unlikely to trigger an imminent financial crisis in China, even though it may crash with a sudden stop in the Chinese economy and act as an amplifier of the initial shock.},
author = {Fang, Hanming and Gu, Quanlin and Xiong, Wei and Zhou, Li-An},
doi = {10.3386/w21112},
institution = {National Bureau of Economic Research},
month = {apr},
number = {21112},
series = {Working Paper Series},
title = {{Demystifying the Chinese Housing Boom}},
type = {Working Paper},
url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w21112},
year = {2015}
}
@techreport{NBERw21460,
abstract = {Unemployment rates in countries across the world are typically positively correlated with GDP. China is an unusual outlier from the pattern, with abnormally low, and suspiciously stable, unemployment rates according to its official statistics. This paper calculates, for the first time, China's unemployment rate from 1988 to 2009 using a more reliable, nationally representative household survey in China. The unemployment rates we calculate differ dramatically from those supplied in official data and are much more consistent with what is known about China's labor market and how it has changed over time in response to structural changes and other significant events. The rate averaged 3.9{\%} in 1988-1995, when the labor market was highly regulated and dominated by state-owned enterprises, but rose sharply during the period of mass layoff from 1995- 2002, reaching an average of 10.9{\%} in the subperiod from 2002 to 2009. We can also calculate labor force participation rates, which are not available in official statistics at all. We find that they declined throughout the whole period, particularly in 1995-2002 when the unemployment rate increased most significantly. We also report results for different demographic groups, different regions, and different cohorts.},
author = {Feng, Shuaizhang and Hu, Yingyao and Moffitt, Robert},
doi = {10.3386/w21460},
file = {:Users/aragorn/Papers/Long Run Trends in Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China.pdf:pdf},
institution = {National Bureau of Economic Research},
month = {aug},
number = {21460},
series = {Working Paper Series},
title = {{Long Run Trends in Unemployment and Labor Force Participation in China}},
type = {Working Paper},
url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w21460},
year = {2015}
}
@article{manipulate2014,
author = {Ghanem, Dalia and Zhang, Junjie},
journal = {Journal of Environmental Economics and Management},
number = {2},
pages = {203--225},
publisher = {Elsevier},
title = {{‘Effortless Perfection:'Do Chinese cities manipulate air pollution data?}},
volume = {68},
year = {2014}
}
@article{Ha2015,
abstract = {We have used Chinese provincial data (1980–2005) to examine the effects of permanent and temporary emigration on human capital formation and economic growth in source regions. First, we find that permanent emigration is conducive to the improvement of both middle and high school enrollment. In contrast, while temporary emigration has a significantly positive effect on middle school enrollment it does not affect high school enrollment. Moreover, the different educational attainments of temporary emigrants have different effects on school enrollment. Specifically, the proportion of temporary emigrants with high school education positively affects middle school enrollment, while the proportion of temporary emigrants with middle school education negatively affects high school enrollment. Finally, we find that both permanent and temporary emigration has a detrimental effect on the economic growth of source regions.},
author = {Ha, Wei and Yi, Junjian and Zhang, Junsen},
doi = {10.1016/j.chieco.2015.02.005},
issn = {1043951X},
journal = {China Economic Review},
keywords = {Brain drain,Brain gain,Economic growth,Emigration,Human capital,J22,J24,O12,O15},
month = {feb},
title = {{Brain drain, brain gain, and economic growth in China}},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1043951X15000292},
year = {2015}
}
@article{He2014,
author = {He, Hui and Zhu, Dongming and Liu, Zheng and Huang, Feng},
file = {:Users/aragorn/Papers/He et al. - 2014 - Breaking the “ Iron Rice Bowl and Precautionary Savings Evidence from Chinese State-Owned Enterprises Reform.pdf:pdf},
keywords = {Precautionary savings,structural cha,uncertainty},
title = {{Breaking the “ Iron Rice Bowl " and Precautionary Savings : Evidence from Chinese State-Owned Enterprises Reform}},
year = {2014}
}
@techreport{NBERw21058,
abstract = {This paper aims to show that culture is an important determinant of the effectiveness of formal democratic institutions, such as elections. We collect new data to document the presence of voluntary and social organizations and the history of electoral reforms in Chinese villages. We use the presence of village temples to proxy for culture, or more specifically, for social (civic) capital and show that their presence greatly enhances the increase in public goods due to the introduction of elections. These results support the view that social capital complements democratic institutions such as elections.},
author = {i Miquel, Gerard Padr{\'{o}} and Qian, Nancy and Xu, Yiqing and Yao, Yang},
doi = {10.3386/w21058},
institution = {National Bureau of Economic Research},
month = {apr},
number = {21058},
series = {Working Paper Series},
title = {{Making Democracy Work: Culture, Social Capital and Elections in China}},
type = {Working Paper},
url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w21058},
year = {2015}
}
@article{Ma2015,
author = {Ma, Hong and Qiao, Xue and Xu, Yuan},
doi = {10.1016/j.jce.2015.04.001},
file = {:Users/aragorn/Papers/Ma, Qiao, Xu - 2015 - Job creation and job destruction in China during 1998–2007.pdf:pdf},
issn = {01475967},
journal = {Journal of Comparative Economics},
keywords = {Job reallocation,Employment growth,Trade liberaliz},
pages = {1--16},
publisher = {Elsevier Ltd.},
title = {{Job creation and job destruction in China during 1998–2007}},
url = {http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0147596715000499},
volume = {000},
year = {2015}
}
@article{Qin2013,
author = {Qin, Yu},
file = {:Users/aragorn/Papers/No County Left Behind.pdf:pdf},
keywords = {117566,4 architecture drive,china,department of real estate,distributional impact,edu,email,high-speed rail,jel classification,national university of singapore,nus,o18,o33,o53,r11,r12,r40,rstqyu,sg,singapore,transportation},
pages = {1--44},
title = {{“ No County Left Behind ?” The Distributional Impact of High-Speed Rail Upgrade in China}},
year = {2013}
}
@article{Sarsons201562,
abstract = {Abstract There is evidence that, in some contexts, income shocks cause conflict. The literature demonstrating this relationship uses rainfall shocks to instrument for income shocks, arguing that in agriculturally-dependent regions, negative rain shocks lower income which incites violence. This identification strategy relies on the assumption that rainfall shocks affect conflict only through their impacts on income. This paper evaluates this exclusion restriction in the context of religious conflict in India. Using data on dam construction, I identify districts that are downstream from irrigation dams and show that income in these areas is much less sensitive to rainfall fluctuations. However, rain shocks remain equally strong predictors of riot incidence in these districts. I explore other channels through which rainfall might affect conflict. },
author = {Sarsons, Heather},
doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2014.12.007},
issn = {0304-3878},
journal = {Journal of Development Economics},
keywords = {Conflict,Instrumental variables,Rain shocks,Riots},
number = {0},
pages = {62--72},
title = {{Rainfall and conflict: A cautionary tale}},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030438781400159X},
volume = {115},
year = {2015}
}
@article{Viard2015,
abstract = {Abstract We evaluate the pollution and labor supply reductions from Beijing's driving restrictions. Causal effects are identified from both time-series and spatial variation in air quality and intra-day variation in television viewership. Based on daily data from multiple monitoring stations, air pollution falls 21{\%} during one-day-per-week restrictions. Based on hourly television viewership data, viewership during the restrictions increases by 9 to 17{\%} for workers with discretionary work time but is unaffected for workers without, consistent with the restrictions' higher per-day commute costs reducing daily labor supply. We provide possible reasons for the policy's success, including evidence of high compliance based on parking garage entrance records. },
author = {Viard, V Brian and Fu, Shihe},
doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2015.02.003},
issn = {0047-2727},
journal = {Journal of Public Economics},
keywords = {Driving restrictions,air pollution,commute costs,environmental economics,externalities},
number = {0},
pages = {--},
title = {{The Effect of Beijing's Driving Restrictions on Pollution and Economic Activity}},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S004727271500016X},
year = {2015}
}
@article{Yuan2015,
abstract = {Abstract This paper documents robust evidence that increases in public spending on basic education are associated with significant reductions in household private tutoring spending in urban China. This reduction comes primarily from the top and bottom income households, suggesting multi-dimensional demands for private tutoring. It concentrates on households with an only boy and is larger for middle-school than primary-school children. Increases in public education spending are associated with significant reduction in school tuition, which is homogeneous across households of different income levels. Changes in household spending on textbooks in response to more public education spending are modest but statistically insignificant. },
author = {Yuan, Cheng and Zhang, Lei},
doi = {http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2015.02.006},
issn = {0304-3878},
journal = {Journal of Development Economics},
keywords = {household education spending,private tutoring,public education spending,tuition,urban},
number = {0},
pages = {--},
title = {{Public Education Spending and Private Substitution in Urban China}},
url = {http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030438781500036X},
year = {2015}
}
@article{杨俊2007教育不平等,
author = {杨俊 and 李雪松},
journal = {数量经济技术经济研究},
pages = {5},
title = {{教育不平等, 人力资本积累与经济增长, 基于中国的实证研究 [J]}},
volume = {2},
year = {2007}
}
@article{杨俊2008教育不平等与收入分配差距,
author = {杨俊 and 黄潇 and 李晓羽},
journal = {管理世界},
pages = {38--47},
title = {教育不平等与收入分配差距: 中国的实证分析},
volume = {1},
year = {2008}
}