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Benchmark: does an evidence map beat a cited memo? #2

Description

@alsoleg89

Why this matters

Doubt's deterministic contract proves structural traceability and safe rendering, but the main product hypothesis is still open: does an interactive evidence map help a reader inspect a contested decision better than a well-cited memo?

The study measures that directly instead of turning an untested preference into a product claim.

Current protocol

The preregistered study is live at:

https://alsoleg89.github.io/doubt/benchmark/

It includes:

  • five contested, non-sensitive technical topics;
  • one validated Doubt map and one hand-edited cited memo per topic;
  • the same frozen source set in both conditions;
  • shuffled topic order and balanced 2/3 condition assignment;
  • 25 keyed tasks covering position, contradiction, qualification, unknown, and exact source region;
  • anonymous local JSON export with no account, analytics, telemetry, or network submission;
  • a fail-closed analyzer that refuses condition-level output before ten complete unique sessions.

Protocol and source artifacts:

https://github.com/alsoleg89/doubt/tree/main/benchmarks/map-vs-memo

Remaining acceptance criteria

  • Protocol and hypotheses are committed before results are collected.
  • Five topics use paired map and memo artifacts.
  • Map and memo use the same source material.
  • No participant-identifying data is collected or committed.
  • Collect at least ten complete valid reader sessions.
  • Publish anonymized aggregate results, including failures and neutral outcomes.
  • Update the README product claim to match the observed result.

No reader-result claim should be published before the stopping rule is met.

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