diff --git a/docs/us_equity_strategy_status.md b/docs/us_equity_strategy_status.md index 2e7a66b..91f64e2 100644 --- a/docs/us_equity_strategy_status.md +++ b/docs/us_equity_strategy_status.md @@ -26,6 +26,13 @@ Full archive index: [us_equity_runtime_archive.md](./us_equity_runtime_archive.m See the Chinese handbook for localized positioning text and default parameter tables. +## Current live risk-budget stance + +- Keep `soxl_soxx_trend_income` live as the high-return semiconductor engine; do not downgrade it to shadow/research solely because of drawdown risk. +- Keep `tqqq_growth_income`, `russell_top50_leader_rotation`, and `global_etf_rotation` live. +- Treat `us_equity_combo_leveraged_shadow_402040` as a replacement candidate for part of the existing TQQQ/SOXL exposure, not an additive live layer. +- Do not promote TECL, CN combo, or HK combo profiles to live without separate evidence and manual approval. + ## Research retained, not `runtime_enabled` | Profile / track | Status | Why not live | diff --git a/docs/us_equity_strategy_status.zh-CN.md b/docs/us_equity_strategy_status.zh-CN.md index 7c0d723..2902d09 100644 --- a/docs/us_equity_strategy_status.zh-CN.md +++ b/docs/us_equity_strategy_status.zh-CN.md @@ -71,6 +71,13 @@ _更新日期:2026-06-28_ - `global_etf_rotation`:已切到 SMA250 置信度 + 相对波动门控的保留版;最新回测 CAGR 13.91%,最大回撤 -23.29%,已替代原先的等权默认档。`global_etf_confidence_vol_gate` 仅保留为同一 runtime profile 的 legacy alias / 回放名。 +## 当前 live 风险预算口径 + +- `soxl_soxx_trend_income` 保持 live:它是当前高收益半导体引擎,不因回撤风险单独降级为 shadow/research。 +- `tqqq_growth_income`、`russell_top50_leader_rotation`、`global_etf_rotation` 保持 live。 +- `us_equity_combo_leveraged_shadow_402040` 只作为未来替换部分 TQQQ/SOXL 暴露的 shadow 候选,不作为额外叠加的 live 杠杆层。 +- `TECL`、CN combo、HK combo 继续 research/shadow;没有单独证据和人工确认前不进入 live。 + ## 研究中但未进入运行 profile 的方向 | 研究方向 | 当前状态 | 不直接部署的原因 |